Sunday, August 28, 2011

Week 1 Predictions

It's that time of year again! Each week, I will be making my predictions as to the outcome of each week's top ten games. Usually I will select the games that ESPN's College Pick'em does, though notably, I will include non-Saturday games.

Thursday, September 1
UNLV 14 @ #11 Wisconsin 41
Though UNLV should be improved this year, they are simply no match for the Badgers at Camp Randall. Wisconsin puts up big numbers on the ground, and Russell Wilson doesn't even need to pass in the second half.

Saturday, August 27, 2011

2011 Preview: Bowl Game Predictions

This year's selection order: (Championship), (Rose), Fiesta, Sugar, Orange

If a bowl with automatic tie-ins loses a team to the national championship, then it can select a replacement team first. (This year, I predict that will be the Rose (Oregon) and the Fiesta (Oklahoma)

In General, only 10+ win teams from AQ conferences are selected for BCS bowls. Of course, 9-3 teams have been selected before (Illinois) but this was generally considered a bad idea, and it is likely that every BCS bowl participant in 2012 will have ten or more wins.

Teams qualifying for BCS games:
ACC- Florida State*(11-2), Virginia Tech (12-1)
Big Ten- Wisconsin*(12-1), Nebraska (10-3)
Big 12- Oklahoma*(12-0), Texas A&M (10-2)
Big East- West Virginia* (10-2)
PAC-12- Oregon*(13-0), Utah (10-2)
SEC- Alabama*(12-1), LSU (10-2), South Carolina (10-3)
[Each conference may only have two representatives]
At-Large- Boise State* (12-0)

* Indicates Automatic Berth

Given the selection order:

BCS Championship: Oregon vs. Oklahoma
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin vs. LSU (Replaces Oregon)
Fiesta Bowl: Texas A&M (Replaces Oklahoma) vs. Boise State
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Virginia Tech
Orange Bowl: Florida State vs. West Virginia

Other Bowl Games after the Jump

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

2011 Preview: SEC

State of the Conference:
ESS EEE CEE!
ESS EEE CEE!

2010 Championship: Auburn def. South Carolina

2011 Projected Championship: Alabama def. South Carolina

Projected Finishes:
East:
1. South Carolina (10-2, 6-2 SEC)
2. Georgia (8-4, 5-3 SEC)
3. Florida (7-5, 4-4 SEC)
4. Tennessee (6-6, 2-6 SEC)
5. Kentucky (5-7, 2-6 SEC)
6. Vanderbilt (3-9, 0-8 SEC)
West:
1. Alabama (11-1, 7-1 SEC)
2. LSU (10-2, 7-1 SEC)
3. Arkansas (10-2, 6-2 SEC)
4. Mississippi State (9-3, 5-3 SEC)
5. Auburn (6-6, 3-5 SEC)
6. Ole Miss (4-8, 1-7 SEC)

Surprise Team: Mississippi State
Dan Mullen is building a monster of a program. Too bad he's in such a stacked division. With a speedy offense, and a tough "D", the Bulldogs could compete in almost any division in the country. Too bad the SEC West isn't "almost every division in the country." Still, the Bulldogs will pull of a MAJOR upset this season, like maybe....

Upset Special: Mississippi State over Alabama
You heard it here first. Right after winning the LSU game to take a stranglehold on the Division, the Crimson Tide have to take a trip down to Starkville, to do battle with a very very good MSU team. Just sayin'. The Bulldogs could pull off a stunner.

Sunday, August 21, 2011

2011 Preview: Big Ten

State of the Conference:
The Big Ten is, like its west-coast brethren, embarking on a new division-based adventure, and will hold the inaugural Big Ten Title Game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. There are four new head coaches in the league, Minnesota's Kill, Indiana's Wilson, Ohio State's Fickell, and Michigan's Hoke. There is a new team in the league, and brand-new divisions, they-which-shall-not-be-named. All is new in the oldest major conference. Will the champion be too? With Ohio State and Michigan on the downswing, several other programs look to capitalize. Will it be the new kid, Nebraska? The upstart Wisconsin? Dark Horse Michigan State? We shall see.

2010 Champion: Wisconsin (Tied with Michigan State and Ohio State)

2011 Predicted Championship: Wisconsin over Nebraska

Predicted Finishes:
East(ish) Division
1. Wisconsin (11-1, 7-1 B1G)
2. Ohio State (9-3, 5-3 B1G)
3. Penn State (8-4, 5-3 B1G)
4. Illinois (7-5, 4-4 B1G)
5. Purdue (5-7, 2-6 B1G)
6. Indiana (5-7, 1-7 B1G)
West(ish) Division
1. Nebraska (10-2, 6-2 B1G)
2(tie). Iowa (8-4, 4-4 B1G)
2(tie). Michigan State (8-4, 4-4 B1G)
2(tie). Northwestern (8-4, 4-4 B1G)
5. Michigan (7-5, 4-4 B1G)
6. Minnesota (4-8, 1-7 B1G)

Surprise Team: Illinois
Illinois will go to a bowl game two years in a row for the first time in a while, and along the way will knock off one of the three teams above it in their Division

Upset Alert: Northwestern over Iowa
This one is easy to call, because it happens every year. Iowa comes in with a long winning streak, and Northwestern wins 17-14 or some other ungodly score. Iowa QB throws inexplicable picks, and Iowa fans fume for another year.

AP Top 25 is out.... Time to rant!


Here is the AP Top 25 for the preseason. My thoughts are below.


AP Top 25
RKTEAMRECORDPTS
1Oklahoma (36)0-01464
2Alabama (17)0-01439
3Oregon (4)0-01330
4LSU (1)0-01286
5Boise State (2)0-01200
6Florida State0-01168
7Stanford0-01091
8Texas A&M0-0965
9Oklahoma State0-0955
10Nebraska0-0910
11Wisconsin0-0900
12South Carolina0-0848
13Virginia Tech0-0821
14TCU0-0690
15Arkansas0-0686
16Notre Dame0-0530
17Michigan State0-0519
18Ohio State0-0443
19Georgia0-0369
20Mississippi State0-0361
21Missouri0-0258
22Florida0-0228
23Auburn0-0219
24West Virginia0-0207
25USC0-0160