Week 6 Predictions

Week 5 Record: 7-3
2010 Record: 36-14 (72%)

Well, It could be worse, but it could be a lot better too. I have yet to go worse than 7-3, but also have not gone better than 8-2... Hoping it changes this week... for the better!


Thursday, October 7
Nebraska 31 @ Kansas State 16. Nebraska takes its number 4-nationally-ranked rush offense against the Big 12's worst rush defense (195.5 ypg). Uh-oh.







Saturday, October 9
Alabama 20 @ South Carolina 12. Alabama's D showed itself vulnerable to legit offensive firepower (looking at you, Florida) and South Carolina's rushing offense should drain time off the clock, making this contest much closer and lower scoring than many predict. But not low-enough nor close-enough for the Gamecocks to pull off the upset.


Arkansas 45 @ Texas A&M 21. Arkansas has a defense now! Texas A&M has the same old QB... with a brand-new habit of throwing interceptions!


Pittsburgh 13 @ Notre Dame 24. Pitt is starting to look very disappointing, for a team many picked to win the "Big" East.


Oregon State 28 @ Arizona 30. A game that could go both ways. But I like the Wildcats at home, and with a fire under them after their last outing, a clunker against Cal.


Utah 30 @ Iowa State 24. Upset of the week? perhaps... but methinks the Utes don't want to head off into the Pac-12 sunset off a loss to one of the traditional doormats of the Big 12.


Auburn 21 @ Kentucky 28. Upset of the week? You betcha! I don't know why I like the Wildcats, after they lost to Ole Miss (OLE MISS!!!), but call it a gut feeling. Auburn likes to turn the ball over, and doesn't like to play defense. Kentucky rarely commits turnovers, and has a potent offense. And they're at home. Gotta go with the gut.


LSU 13 @ Florida 17. If Les Miles does another last-minute-victory-pulled-out-of-a-hat trick, I actually might have to subscribe to Pat Forde's Les-Miles-has-a-pact-with-the-devil hypothesis. If Satan has a side in this one, I suppose I'll bet it's Florida's.


Florida State 31 @ Miami 27. The 'Canes' Jacory Harris throws interceptions for a living. FSU's Christian Ponder throws touchdowns. FSU has too much offense, Miami too many penalties and turnovers for the Hurricanes to pull it out.


GOTW Prediction: Michigan State at Michigan.
GOTW Record: 4-1 (80%)

• Michigan State Offense vs. Michigan Defense. Since Michigan's defense is effectively non-existent, I suppose the Spartans get the nod here. Michigan State's strong run game should shorten the game, MSU -2 helping out the....
• Michigan State Defense vs. Michigan Offense. Denard Robinson is the real deal, but he can't be the entire Michigan offense week after week after week... can he?? Michigan +3
• Home-field advantage. Michigan's Stadium is remarkably quiet, for such a large crowd. Michigan +1
• The Stat: Once-Mighty Michigan has lost 4 straight top-25 matchups. MSU -1

The Verdict: Michigan +1

The Prediction: Michigan State 28, Michigan 27.

Going against the odds here, picking the Spartans. I think the running game will keep Denard Robinson and the Michigan Offense off the field, and the Spartans will have just enough offense to win two straight in the Big House for just the first time since 1965-1967.